Indian-born economist Jagdish Bhagwati â” who is positioning himself to advise Narendra Modi if the BJP leader becomes Indiaâ™s next Prime Minister â” would urge him to allow more foreign investment and trade to spur slow growth and curtail government spending.
Addressing his potential role in a Modi government for the first time, Bhagwati, known as the most famous living economist never to win a Nobel prize, said he saw himself on an external council advising the PM.
âœIâ™d be glad to chair something like that, and I think thatâ™s what they might do,â Bhagwati said, adding, âœTo enhance growth, he will need to promise that India will open more to trade and FDI (foreign direct investment).â
This stance could put Bhagwati at odds with more protectionist factions in the BJP and its allies. He expected Modi to move decisively to attract foreign investment, and that he would eventually implement a policy opposed by his party - to allow foreign retailers like Wal-Mart and Tesco free access to Indian markets.
âœHe will do it, but he canâ™t do it right away, because you canâ™t go against your party. Itâ™s impossible, he is not a stupid man,â he said, adding that Modiâ™s room for manoeuvre would depend on the size of a potential victory.
In a possible sign of the influence of Bhagwatiâ™s brand of free-market thinking, he said his pro-growth protégé Arvind Panagariya was a strong candidate for the more hands-on role of chief economist to the PM, if Modi is elected. He added that people close to Modi had approached him to ask about Panagariyaâ™s suitability for the role.
Bhagwatiâ™s most urgent policy prescription, however, is to slow government spending, which he blames for high inflation. âœAt the beginning he (Modi) has got to say â˜look, weâ™re going to bring inflation under controlâ™ ... There is no escape from turning off the spigot.â
âœThis time I have a much greater sense of excitement. This time I know that these ideas that correspond to mine are to be implemented, as they have been implemented over the years in Gujarat,â said Bhagwati, born to a Gujarati family in British India.
Bhagwati expected Modi to keep RBI governor Raghuram Rajan, whose hawkish use of monetary policy to target stubbornly high inflation has led some in the BJP to call for his ouster.
Bhagwati said that his close friend, current PM Manmohan Singh, had failed to put his ideas into practice - something he expected to change if Modi wins.
However, a BJP spokeswoman said she was not aware of any plans to invite Bhagwati and Panagariya to advise.
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